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Rock, Paper,
Scissors |
(tips from Ignacio
de Lucas)
A house in Lahan has a guy playing rock, paper, scissors. If
you decide to challenge him, you'll have to select the option
quite quickly (as you would in a real RPS game). Each time
you win, he'll give you 50 G, and each time you lose, he'll take
50 G from you (fair enough ^_^). However, should you manage to
beat him five times in a row, he'll give you the "Mythical
RPS Hero Badge" (AKA RPS Badge), which will be useful in
getting seom rare items (see the secrets
section under the badges secret).
There IS a way that you can increase your chances of winning.
It is not COMPLETELY random. The critical key here is that once
the man is beaten he will always change his signs. At that point
you want to pick the sign that will not lose. Allow me to show
an example: You throw paper and he throws rock. He'll lose, which
means he WILL change signs. The remaining options are scissors
and paper. Scissors will defeat paper but paper can't beat scissors.
Throw scissors and you will tie at WORST, win at best. If you
tie ---- good luck, that I have found is completely random. On
the other hand this little strategy will increase your chances
greatly.
Assuming you won the previous round, your chances are now 1/2
of winning and 1/2 of tying, and if you tie now, you have 1/3
of losing, 1/3 of winning and 1/3 of losing. Since if you tie,
you'll have to draw again with the same chances over and over,
it could be considered as 1/2 of winning and 1/2 of losing.
So that's 1/2 of winning straight, and 1/2 * 1/2 of winning if
you tie. That makes 3/4 of winning each time instead of 1/2,
which is quite an improvement! So, to win 5 times in a row, you
must win the first game by pure luck (1/2), then four more by
using Strasa's tactic (3/4), so in the end it is 1/2 * (3/4)
^4 = 81/512 = 15.82% instead of (1/2)^5 = 1/32 = 3.125%, almost
five times as much chance as before! Quite an improvement, huh?
Also, since you win more often than you lose, you'll end up gaining
money. |
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